Global Economy Global Growth – Sluggish: IMF has cut global growth outlook by an enormous 50 bps for 2025 to 2.8% in its latest April outlook, from 3.3% in its Jan outlook. The main reason for downgrade is high level of trade and policy uncertainty due to tariff flip-flop by Trump. Growth of US is expected…
Global Economy Despite rising protectionism and the sluggish growth outlook for Euro-zone and China, global growth remained resilient at around 3.2% for Calendar Year 2024. For the 2nd year running, the US economy surprised on the upside whereas hopes of a recovery were partially dashed in Europe and China. The American consumer remains the main…
Global Economy and Stock Markets Global economy is expected to grow at 3.2% in both 2024 and 2025. The short-term outlook for the global economy is stabilizing but many vulnerabilities remain. The reason for cautious optimism is easing of inflation and evidence of resilience of global commerce. Headline inflation in the G20 is projected to…
Global Economy and Stock Markets The global economy is set for modest growth over the next two years amid cooling activity in the U.S., a bottoming-out in Europe and stronger consumption and exports for China. The IMF kept its 2024 global real gross domestic product growth forecast unchanged from April at 3.2% and raised its…
Global Economy and Stock Markets Global growth is projected at 3.1% in 2024 and 3.2% in 2025. The forecast for 2024–25 is, however, below the historical (2000–2019) average of 3.8%, with elevated central bank policy rates to fight inflation, a withdrawal of fiscal support amid high debt weighing on economic activity and low underlying productivity…
Global Economy and Stock Markets Global growth is projected at 3.1 percent in 2024 and 3.2 percent in 2025. The forecast for 2024–25 is, however, below the historical (2000–2019) average of 3.8 percent, with elevated central bank policy rates to fight inflation, a withdrawal of fiscal support amid high debt weighing on economic activity, and…
Global Economy and Stock Markets Global growth seems to be holding on in 2023. Global GDP is expected to grow at 2.7% this year, 100 bps above the Bloomberg forecast of a year ago whereas USA is forecast to grow at 2.4%, 200 bps above the consensus forecast of a year ago. Further, since the…
Global Economy and Stock Markets Midway through 2023, the global economy is confronting a host of unusual occurrences with US unemployment at its lowest point since 1968 whereas core inflation is higher than what it was in 1983. Global growth has stabilized but the improvement is fragile. Global GDP growth is projected to grow at…
Global Economy and Stock Markets Tentative signs in early 2023 were that the world economy could achieve a soft landing—with inflation coming down and growth steady—but the expectation of soft landing has receded recently amid stubbornly high inflation and recent financial sector turmoil. Hence, the outlook for 2023 is uncertain again amid troubles in the…
Global Economy and Stock Markets As per latest survey by IMF, inflation appears to have peaked in 2022, consumer spending remains robust and the energy crisis post Russia-Ukraine war has been less severe than initially feared. Though global economy still faces major headwinds in 2023, global growth is now expected to fall from 3.4% in…